Global Diesel Shortage Could Last Into 2027 as Inventories Fall

Heavy-duty trucks refueling as global diesel supplies tighten and the diesel shortage could continue into 2027.

A global diesel shortage is showing signs of lasting well into 2027, as supply disruptions in the Middle East and Russia continue to drain inventories and keep fuel markets under pressure. Reuters reported on September 21 that industry participants and storage-market indicators point to tight diesel supplies extending into next year. In the United States, retail diesel prices surpassed $6 per gallon this month for the first time, while U.S. diesel inventories fell to 107.9 million barrels on September 11 the lowest level for that time of year since records began in 1982.

The pressure is also visible in the storage market. Diesel storage capacity available for lease across North America and the Caribbean reached 13 million barrels for October, up from 11 million barrels in June, according to storage broker The Tank Tiger. Reuters reported that refiners and traders are declining to renew some storage leases because there is insufficient diesel available to fill them. Meanwhile, the U.S. Energy Information Administration forecasts U.S. distillate inventories a category that includes diesel will fall below 100 million barrels in September and remain below the 2021–2025 five-year low through the end of 2026 and most of 2027. European inventories are also below their five-year average, while Asian markets continue to face supply pressure.

For the logistics industry, diesel availability is closely tied to the cost of moving freight. Trucking, agriculture, manufacturing and other heavy-duty operations rely heavily on diesel, meaning prolonged fuel tightness can increase operating pressure across freight networks. Reuters noted that record refining margins could encourage additional production, while higher exports from China could provide some relief; however, further disruptions or refinery outages could trigger renewed price increases. For logistics teams managing large volumes of freight documentation, FreightGraph AutoFill can help turn incoming freight documents and information into structured digital data, supporting a more efficient workflow as transportation costs and operating conditions remain volatile.

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